A’ja Wilson Initial Read Over 29.5 — Closed — No Official Lock Before Tipoff
Points + Assists · New York Liberty @ Las Vegas Aces
Current Decision
Closed — No Official Lock Before Tipoff
No Official Play · No Action — Does Not Count
No official lock was recorded before game start. No action — this does not count toward the record.
Official Status
No Official Play
Lifecycle / Decision History
Initial read
Over 29.5
Closed — no official lock
No official lock was recorded before game start.
Why It Qualifies / Risks
Why It Qualifies
- The supplied 33.7 P+A projection is 4.2 points above the 29.5 line.
- The supplied cover probability is 70%.
- The supplied EV is approximately +29% to +32%.
- The supplied L-5 and L-15 hit rates are both 60% Over.
- The best visible Over price is -110 at ProphetX.
Risks
- Consensus pricing leans slightly toward the Under at Under 29.5 -120.
- theScore shows stronger Under shading at Under 29.5 -125.
- The supplied season Over rate is only 48%.
- The supplied H2H hit rate is 0%.
- A move to 30.5 or a price worse than -125 materially weakens the entry without stronger market confirmation.
Final Call
No Official Play
No official lock was recorded before game start.
Sources checked: Official WNBA New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces game page for July 30, 2026, Official WNBA Las Vegas Aces team news showing A’ja Wilson played and scored 38 points on July 22, 2026, User-supplied screenshot and typed consensus, DraftKings, theScore, Caesars, Fanatics, PrizePicks, Underdog, ProphetX, projection, EV, cover probability, trends, season record, H2H, and market assessment · Last verified 8:57 PM ET
A’ja Wilson Over 29.5 Points + Assists is the tracked Watchlist Initial Read for New York at Las Vegas on July 30, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. The supplied 33.7 projection creates 4.2 points of cushion, while ProphetX shows the best visible Over price at -110.
FAQ
No. The game has started or finished.
No. It was not officially locked before tipoff.
No. It is No Action.
It remains as informational decision history.
The preferred supplied entry is Over 29.5 at -110. Keep it price-sensitive through -115.
Pass if Over 29.5 becomes worse than -125 without stronger Over confirmation. Do not chase Over 30.5 without a refreshed projection above 34.0 and supportive movement.
No. The screenshot shows current lines and prices, but no reliable handle, ticket, steam, or sharp-money screen.
This content is for research and entertainment purposes only. No pick is guaranteed. Lines can move quickly. Always check the current line before making any decision.