A’ja Wilson Initial Read Over 30.5 — Closed — No Official Lock Before Tipoff
Points + Assists · Portland Fire @ Las Vegas Aces
Current Decision
Closed — No Official Lock Before Tipoff
No Official Play · No Action — Does Not Count
No official lock was recorded before game start. No action — this does not count toward the record.
Official Status
No Official Play
Lifecycle / Decision History
Initial read
Over 30.5
Closed — no official lock
No official lock was recorded before game start.
Why It Qualifies / Risks
Why It Qualifies
- The supplied 34.6 P+A projection is 4.1 points above the 30.5 line.
- The supplied cover probability is 68% and EV is +34%.
- The Over is widely available at 30.5 across the supplied board.
- ProphetX / Open current offers the best supplied price at -104.
- The supplied H2H hit rate is 100%.
Risks
- The supplied L-5 hit rate is only 40% and the season hit rate is 42%.
- The Under is priced more heavily at some books, including ProphetX Under 30.5 -150.
- A line move to 31.5 removes a full point of protection.
- A price worse than -125 weakens the entry enough to pass.
- Any late availability, role, minutes, or lineup change could make the supplied projection stale.
Final Call
No Official Play
No official lock was recorded before game start.
Sources checked: Official WNBA Portland Fire at Las Vegas Aces game page for July 28, 2026, Official Las Vegas Aces game preview and team page for Portland at Las Vegas, User-supplied DraftKings, Caesars, theScore, Fanatics, PrizePicks, Underdog, ProphetX, consensus, projection, EV, cover probability, hit-rate profile, and formula assessment · Last verified 8:54 PM ET
A’ja Wilson Over 30.5 Points + Assists is the tracked Initial Read for Portland at Las Vegas on July 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM PT. The supplied 34.6 P+A projection creates 4.1 points of cushion, while ProphetX / Open current offers the best shown price at -104.
FAQ
No. The game has started or finished.
No. It was not officially locked before tipoff.
No. It is No Action.
It remains as informational decision history.
The best supplied entry is Over 30.5 -104 on ProphetX / Open current. The tracked read remains playable to -120.
The supplied projection is 34.6 Points + Assists, which is 4.1 points above the 30.5 line.
No. The board shows prices, but no reliable handle or ticket split was supplied or independently verified.
This content is for research and entertainment purposes only. No pick is guaranteed. Lines can move quickly. Always check the current line before making any decision.