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DeWanna Bonner
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Closed — No Official Lock Before TipoffWNBA· Tipoff 10:00 PM ET

DeWanna Bonner Initial Read Under 16.5 — Closed — No Official Lock Before Tipoff

Points + Assists + Rebounds · Golden State Valkyries @ Phoenix Mercury

Jul 29, 2026 · 10:00 PM ETTipoff 10:00 PM ETLast verified 2026-07-29T23:21:00+00:00Market Move · No Movement

Current Decision

Closed — No Official Lock Before Tipoff

No Official Play · No Action — Does Not Count

No official lock was recorded before game start. No action — this does not count toward the record.

Official Status

No Official Play

Lifecycle / Decision History

  1. Initial read

    Under 16.5

  2. Closed — no official lock

    No official lock was recorded before game start.

Why It Qualifies / Risks

Why It Qualifies

  • The supplied 14.4 PRA projection is 2.1 points below the 16.5 line.
  • The supplied cover probability is 66% and EV is +24%.
  • The supplied L-5 hit rate is 80% Under and L-15 is 60% Under.
  • The visible market is consistently centered at 16.5.
  • The selected Under -115 price is materially better than the consensus Under -135.

Risks

  • The supplied season Under rate is only 46%.
  • The supplied H2H hit rate is 0%.
  • The supplied season Over/Under record is only 5–5.
  • A move from 16.5 to 15.5 removes a full point of protection.
  • Any late availability, role, minutes, or lineup change could make the supplied projection stale.

Final Call

Closed — No Official Lock Before Tipoff

No Official Play

No official lock was recorded before game start.

Sources checked: Official WNBA Golden State Valkyries at Phoenix Mercury game page for July 29, 2026, Official Phoenix Mercury 2026 roster listing DeWanna Bonner, User-supplied snapshot and typed consensus, DraftKings, Underdog, Novig, ProphetX, Sleeper, projection, EV, cover probability, trends, season record, and formula assessment · Last verified 7:21 PM ET

DeWanna Bonner Under 16.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds is the tracked Initial Read for Golden State at Phoenix on July 29, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. The supplied 14.4 PRA projection is 2.1 below the line, while the selected -115 entry offers a much better price than the visible consensus Under -135.

FAQ

Is this still playable?

No. The game has started or finished.

Was this an official Smash?

No. It was not officially locked before tipoff.

Does it count toward the record?

No. It is No Action.

What happened to the Initial Read?

It remains as informational decision history.

What is the best entry?

The preferred supplied entry is Under 16.5 at -115. The tracked read remains playable through -125.

Why is -115 valuable if the market line is also 16.5?

The line is not better than consensus, but the price is. Consensus shows Under 16.5 at -135, so -115 provides twenty cents of price improvement.

When does this become a Pass?

Pass if Under 16.5 becomes worse than -135. Do not play Under 15.5 unless the full projection and market profile requalify it.

Is Vegas money confirmed?

No. The snapshot shows Under price pressure, but no reliable handle, ticket, steam, or sharp-money screen was supplied.

This content is for research and entertainment purposes only. No pick is guaranteed. Lines can move quickly. Always check the current line before making any decision.