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Gabby Williams
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Pass / No ChaseWNBA· Tipoff 7:30 PM ET

Gabby Williams Under 14.5 Points — Pass / No Chase

Points · Golden State Valkyries @ Connecticut Sun

Pass / No Chase· Number no longer playable

Pass / No Chase

Pass / No Chase. This Watchlist prop was never promoted to Live because the current market no longer supported the playable number.

Jul 10, 2026 · 7:30 PM ETTipoff 7:30 PM ETLast verified 2026-07-10T20:25:28.889684+00:00Market Move · Moved Down 1.0

Pass / No Chase · No official play · Not recap eligible. This report was passed before becoming an official play.

SMASH WATCHLIST ONLY — Gabby Williams Under 14.5 Points

Quick Verdict

Complete Pass — the market reached the pass number..

Pass / No Chase. Gabby Williams Under 14.5 was the playable number, but the books disagreed and there was no clean consensus number to trust, so the market reached the pass number. The edge is gone — do not chase.

Original Number

Original Number

14.5

Current Line

13.5

Original Best Available Number

14.5

Current Market Check

Current line: 13.5. Over -118 at DraftKings Under 14.5 Points -122; SportsGambler also shows Under 14.5 -125 / Over 14.5 -103; Under -112 at DraftKings Under 14.5 Points -122; SportsGambler also shows Under 14.5 -125 / Over 14.5 -103. Market move: Current Snapshot — Prior Check Unavailable. Current market snapshot captured: Line 13.5, Over -118, Under -112. The prior Market Monitor snapshot is unavailable, so no stronger-number, price-support, or no-movement classification can be made yet.

Sharp Layer

Pass Number ReachedPass

The original entry is no longer available. The sportsbook market may still be playable only if a fresh report supports the new number, but this original report should not chase the move.

Closing Line WatchWatch for confirmed active status and any minutes-limit note. If Williams is active with no expanded role and Under 14.5 remains at playable juice, this can be reviewed for Live promotion. If she is ruled out, remains uncertain, or the line drops to 13.5, do not promote.
Market RiskHigh until injury status clears. Williams is Questionable with a back contusion, and uncertain availability/minutes fail the official Smash injury gate. The prop should remain Watchlist unless status and role become clear before game time.
Best ActionPass — do not chase. Re-enter only if a fresh report supports the new number.
Sharp Book Cross-Check
Sportsbooks13.5
Sharp Book14.5
SignalNo reliable ticket/handle split was provided. This is being held as a Watchlist because the number and recent form support the Under, but injury status prevents official promotion.
Best EntryDraftKings Under 14.5 -122

Best line found is DraftKings Under 14.5 Points -122. SportsGambler also shows the same 14.5 points market with Under 14.5 -125 and Over 14.5 -103. This confirms the 14.5 number is not a one-source outlier.

Vegas / Market Read

Vegas / Market Read

This prop is no longer playable at the current number. This is now Pass / No Chase because the books disagreed and there was no clean consensus number to trust. The market moved from 14.5 to 13.5, reaching the pass number.

Why the prop was tempting

  • The Under 14.5 has market support with DraftKings showing Under 14.5 -122 and SportsGambler also showing Under 14.5 -125.
  • Williams has failed to reach 10 points in three of her last four games.
  • She has scored 15 or fewer points in five of her last seven games.
  • She has played under 20 minutes in both of her last two games.
  • Connecticut has improved defensively over its last 10 games, including a fourth-ranked defensive rating during that stretch.

Why we are passing

  • Williams is Questionable with a back contusion, so availability and minutes are uncertain.
  • If she is fully active with a normal or expanded role, the Under loses some of its injury/minutes edge.
  • A 14.5 points line can be cleared with one efficient shooting game, especially if minutes return to normal.
  • If the market drops to 13.5, the best Watchlist number is gone and the edge is no longer strong enough.

Smash Scores

Over Score42
Under Score64
Pass Score75
Market Score61
Playable Number

No longer playable — the market reached the pass number.

Pass Number

Under 13.5 or lower

Opposite Side Check

Pass / No Chase — do not blend the DFS number with the sportsbook Under.

The DFS number may create a separate More/Over discussion, but it should not be blended with the sportsbook Under. Keep sportsbook and DFS entries separate.

Playable: Only playable if the number improves enough to create cushion.Pass: Pass at the current number.

Final Call

Pass / No Chase. The original playable number is gone.

FAQ

Is this still playable?

No. The market reached the pass number (Under 13.5 or lower), so this is now Pass / No Chase.

What is the pass number?

The pass number was Under 13.5 or lower. The current market line is 13.5.

Why did it move to Pass / No Chase?

This is now Pass / No Chase because the books disagreed and there was no clean consensus number to trust. The line moved from 14.5 to 13.5, erasing the original edge. We do not chase past the pass number.

This content is for research and entertainment purposes only. No pick is guaranteed. Lines can move quickly. Always check the current line before making any decision.