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Jackie Young
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Pass / No ChaseWNBA· Tipoff 7:30 PM ET

Jackie Young Under 27.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds — Pass / No Chase

Points + Assists + Rebounds · Las Vegas Aces @ Washington Mystics

Pass / No Chase· Number no longer playable

Pass / No Chase

Pass / No Chase. This Watchlist prop was never promoted to Live because the current market no longer supported the playable number.

Jul 22, 2026 · 7:30 PM ETTipoff 7:30 PM ETLast verified 2026-07-22T21:01:21.292813+00:00Market Move · Moved Down 1.0

Pass / No Chase · No official play · Not recap eligible. This report was passed before becoming an official play.

Sources checked: official WNBA game page, official Las Vegas Aces roster and team news, plus the user-supplied market board and projection data · Last verified 1:08 PM ET

Jackie Young Under 27.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds is a Smash Watchlist candidate for Las Vegas at Washington on July 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. The supplied 23.6 PRA projection creates 4.0 points of cushion, while Novig offers the best supplied price at -113. Mixed recent form and a conflicting multi-book board prevent immediate promotion.

Quick Verdict

Complete Pass — the market reached the pass number..

Pass / No Chase. Jackie Young Under 27.5 was the playable number, but the books disagreed and there was no clean consensus number to trust, so the market reached the pass number. The edge is gone — do not chase.

Original Number

Original Number

27.5

Current Line

26.5

Original Best Available Number

27.5

Current Market Check

Current line: 26.5. Over -129 at Novig; Under -105 at Novig. Market move: Moved Down 1.0. Jackie Young: The line moved to 26.5. Price moved toward Over. The Under has reached the pass number — treat as a pass.

Sharp Layer

Pass Number ReachedPass

The original entry is no longer available. The sportsbook market may still be playable only if a fresh report supports the new number, but this original report should not chase the move.

Closing Line WatchKeep this on Watchlist while Under 27.5 remains -120 or better. Promote only if Under support strengthens across the board and no late role, minutes, or usage increase appears. Pass / No Chase at Under 26.5 or if Under 27.5 becomes worse than -125.
Market RiskThe supplied hit-rate profile is mixed: 40% over the last 5, 67% over the last 15, 56% for the season, and no head-to-head rate supplied. The official Aces roster currently lists Young at 16.4 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 6.8 assists per game, a combined 27.5 PRA baseline matching the prop line. Her central scoring and playmaking role creates real upside risk to an Under despite the lower supplied projection.
Best ActionPass — do not chase. Re-enter only if a fresh report supports the new number.
Sharp Book Cross-Check
Sportsbooks26.5
Sharp BookNovig Under 27.5 -113
PrizePicksNot supplied
SignalNovig -113, Underdog -115, ProphetX -117, and Caesars -118 keep Under 27.5 within the Watchlist range. Fanatics -125, Hard Rock Under -130, and theScore Under 28.5 -130 show the price becoming expensive, while Hard Rock Over 27.5 EVEN creates a direct market conflict.
Best EntryNovig Under 27.5 -113

The supplied books do not produce a fully clean consensus. The Under projection edge is strong, but price and number dispersion must improve before promotion. The 28.5 Under is a better number but not at the supplied -130 price.

Vegas / Market Read

Vegas / Market Read

This prop is no longer playable at the current number. This is now Pass / No Chase because the books disagreed and there was no clean consensus number to trust. The market moved from 27.5 to 26.5, reaching the pass number.

Opposite Side Candidate — Not Official

Candidate: Over 27.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds

The Over does not currently qualify. It has isolated price support but lacks projection support. The Watchlist should remain on the Under side unless a full opposite-side formula check clears before game time.

The original official play remains unchanged.

Monitor only, not recommended. The Over has some favorable prices, but the supplied 23.6 projection does not support an Over at 27.5 or 28.5. Reconsider only if a verified role, minutes, injury, or usage change materially raises Young's projection and the Over market strengthens across multiple books.

Side

Over

Market

Points + Assists + Rebounds

Line

27.5

Price

Over 27.5 EVEN at Hard Rock

Consensus

Over 27.5 -110

Movement

Hard Rock's Over 27.5 EVEN and theScore's Over 28.5 -110 create an Over-friendly conflict, but the supplied 23.6 projection remains 4.0 points below the official 27.5 candidate line. The opposite side does not currently clear the projection formula.

Vegas Money

Unavailable — no reliable public handle or ticket split was supplied.

Confidence

Low

Source

User-supplied projection and multi-book market board; official Las Vegas Aces roster and current player averages

Status

Monitor Only

Advisory context only. It never changes the official record, grading, or recap eligibility.

Why the prop was tempting

  • The supplied 23.6 PRA projection is 4.0 points below the 27.5 line.
  • The exact Points + Assists + Rebounds market matches the supplied projection.
  • The 4.0-point cushion clears the preferred 2.5-point combo-prop threshold.
  • Novig offers Under 27.5 -113, with Underdog, ProphetX, and Caesars also inside the Watchlist range.
  • The supplied +28% EV and 68% cover probability support continued monitoring.

Why we are passing

  • The supplied last-5 hit rate is only 40%.
  • The official Aces roster averages currently combine to a 27.5 PRA baseline for Young, matching the prop line.
  • Hard Rock offers Over 27.5 at even money, creating direct market conflict.
  • Young's scoring and playmaking usage can spike in competitive games.
  • A move to Under 26.5 or a price worse than -125 removes the candidate.

Smash Scores

Over Score45
Under Score66
Pass Score81
Market Score68
Playable Number

No longer playable — the market reached the pass number.

Pass Number

Under 26.5, or Under 27.5 worse than -125

Opposite Side Check

Pass / No Chase — do not blend the DFS number with the sportsbook Under.

The DFS number may create a separate More/Over discussion, but it should not be blended with the sportsbook Under. Keep sportsbook and DFS entries separate.

Playable: Only playable if the number improves enough to create cushion.Pass: Pass at the current number.

Final Call

Pass / No Chase. The original playable number is gone.

FAQ

Is this still playable?

No. The market reached the pass number (Under 26.5, or Under 27.5 worse than -125), so this is now Pass / No Chase.

What is the pass number?

The pass number was Under 26.5, or Under 27.5 worse than -125. The current market line is 26.5.

Why did it move to Pass / No Chase?

This is now Pass / No Chase because the books disagreed and there was no clean consensus number to trust. The line moved from 27.5 to 26.5, erasing the original edge. We do not chase past the pass number.

This content is for research and entertainment purposes only. No pick is guaranteed. Lines can move quickly. Always check the current line before making any decision.