Kahleah Copper Over 15.5
Points + Assists · Golden State Valkyries @ Phoenix Mercury
Current Decision
Tracked Initial Read
Watchlist · Not Official
Current preferred side is being tracked. This is not an official play and does not count toward the record.
Current Preferred Side
Over 15.5
Best entry: Over 15.5 · +100 · theScore
Lifecycle / Decision History
Initial read
Over 15.5
Projection & Edge
- Current Line
- 15.5
Market & Best Entry
- Sportsbook Consensus
- 19.5
- Best Sportsbook Price
- -130
- Market Movement
- Current Snapshot — Prior Check Unavailable
- Preferred-Side Best Entry
- Over 15.5 · +100 · theScore
Playable Range
- Preferred Entry
- Over 15.5 · +100 · theScore
- Still Playable To
- No longer playable — the market reached the pass number.
- Maximum Sportsbook Price
- Over 15.5 at EVEN (+100) on theScore, only after confirming the book will accept the live line
- Pass / No Chase Trigger
- Over 18.5 or higher; do not use Over 19.5 as a Smash Playable
- Do-Not-Chase Number
- Confirm theScore still offers Over 15.5 at EVEN and will accept the wager. Playable through Over 16.5. Keep Watchlist only at Over 17.5. Pass at Over 18.5 or higher. Do not promote or publish Over 19.5 as a Smash Playable.
Why It Qualifies / Risks
Why It Qualifies
- The supplied 21.0 P+A projection is 5.5 points above the 15.5 line.
- The supplied cover probability is 60% and EV is +18%.
- The supplied L-5 and L-15 hit rates are both 80%, with a supplied season trend of 63%.
- The 15.5 number beats the visible 19.5 consensus by four full points.
- EVEN money provides favorable pricing if theScore confirms and accepts the live line.
Risks
- The 15.5 quote may be stale, mis-mapped, or unavailable because the rest of the board is at 19.5.
- The top row pairs Over 15.5 with Under 19.5, so it is not a clean same-line two-way market.
- The supplied H2H hit rate is 0%.
- The supplied 6–11 season Over/Under record does not reconcile with the supplied 63% season trend.
- Any late availability, role, minutes, or lineup change could make the supplied projection stale.
Final Call
Over 15.5 · +100 · theScore
Current preferred side is being tracked. This is not an official play and does not count toward the record.
Next trigger: Complete the final pregame check.
Sources checked: Official WNBA Golden State Valkyries at Phoenix Mercury game page for July 29, 2026, Public 2026 Phoenix Mercury and Golden State Valkyries schedule pages, User-supplied consensus, DraftKings, Caesars, Fanatics, PrizePicks, Underdog, theScore, projection, EV, cover probability, hit-rate profile, season record, and formula assessment · Last verified 5:35 PM ET
Kahleah Copper Over 15.5 Points + Assists is the tracked Initial Read for Golden State at Phoenix on July 29, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. The supplied 21.0 P+A projection creates 5.5 points of cushion, while theScore shows a major outlier at 15.5 EVEN against a 19.5 consensus.
FAQ
No. The market reached the pass number (Over 18.5 or higher; do not use Over 19.5 as a Smash Playable), so this is now Pass / No Chase.
The pass number was Over 18.5 or higher; do not use Over 19.5 as a Smash Playable. The current market line is 19.5.
This is now Pass / No Chase because the line moved past the playable range. The line moved from 15.5 to 19.5, erasing the original edge. We do not chase past the pass number.
This content is for research and entertainment purposes only. No pick is guaranteed. Lines can move quickly. Always check the current line before making any decision.
