Kelsey Mitchell
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FinalClosed to New EntriesWNBA· Tipoff 8:00 PM ET

Kelsey Mitchell Under 26.5

Points + Rebounds · New York Liberty @ Indiana Fever

Closed to New Entries · Official Play Preserved

Official play preserved. This prop is no longer playable at the current market, but the original official number remains active for recap after the game is final.

Jul 18, 2026 · 8:00 PM ETTipoff 8:00 PM ETLast verified 2026-07-18T23:23:08.675268+00:00Market Move · Moved Down 2.0

Sources checked: Official WNBA New York Liberty at Indiana Fever game page for July 18, 2026, Official Indiana Fever game preview for the second night of the back-to-back, Official Indiana Fever roster showing Kelsey Mitchell, Official WNBA Seattle at Indiana game summary showing Mitchell scored 30 points on July 17, 2026, Official WNBA injury-report policy and current report page, User-supplied Fanatics, consensus, PrizePicks, projection, EV, cover probability, hit-rate profile, and Better Prop Selection Formula assessment · Last verified 7:23 PM ET

Quick Verdict

Closed to new entries. Original official play remains Under 26.5. Current market is no longer playable.

Smash Playable.

Original Number

Original Number

26.5

Current Line

24.5

Best Available Number

25.5

Current Market Check

Current line: 24.5. Over -113 at User-supplied market board; best entry shown on Fanatics; Under -120 at User-supplied market board; best entry shown on Fanatics. Market move: Market Holding — Price Support Toward Under. Price support moved toward the Under while the line held at 24.5. Under 24.5 is now -120; Over 24.5 is -113. Current market is no longer playable for new entries. Original official play remains Under 26.5. Do not chase current market.

Sharp Layer

Vegas / Market Read

Vegas / Market Read

Closed to new entries. Current line: 24.5. Over -113 at User-supplied market board; best entry shown on Fanatics; Under -120 at User-supplied market board; best entry shown on Fanatics. Market move: Market Holding — Price Support Toward Under. Price support moved toward the Under while the line held at 24.5. Under 24.5 is now -120; Over 24.5 is -113. Current market is no longer playable for new entries. Original official play remains Under 26.5. Do not chase current market.

Opposite Side Candidate — Not Official

Candidate: Over 25.5 Points + Rebounds

The Over does not qualify. Mitchell's recent 30-point game creates ceiling risk, but it does not overcome the projection gap, current number, and Under-directed line movement.

The original official play remains unchanged.

Not recommended. The supplied 21.1 projection is 4.4 points below the current line, and the visible market movement supports the Under.

Side

Over

Market

Points + Rebounds

Line

25.5

Price

Unavailable

Consensus

Over 25.5 price unavailable

Movement

The move from 26.5 to 25.5 supports the Under, not an Over-side reversal.

Vegas Money

Unavailable

Confidence

Low

Source

User-supplied projection and market board; official previous-game result

Status

Not Recommended

Advisory context only. It never changes the official record, grading, or recap eligibility.

Why it could lose

  • Mitchell scored 30 points in Indiana's previous game, showing an elevated scoring ceiling.
  • A strong shooting night can put the Points + Rebounds total over the number without much rebounding production.
  • The line already moved down one full point, reducing the original number advantage.
  • The second night of a back-to-back can create unpredictable rotations and game flow.
  • A move to 24.5 removes another full point of protection and triggers Pass / No Chase.

Smash Scores

Over Score30
Under Score84
Pass Score44
Market Score80
Closed to New Entries

Original Official Number: Under 26.5

Do not chase current market.

Final Call

Original official play remains Under 26.5. Do not chase current market.

FAQ

Is Kelsey Mitchell Under 25.5 Points + Rebounds an official Smash?

No new entry. The original official number is preserved, but the current market is closed to new entries.

What is the projection cushion?

The supplied projection is 21.1 Points + Rebounds, which is 4.4 points below the current 25.5 line.

How has the market moved?

Current line: 24.5. Over -113 at User-supplied market board; best entry shown on Fanatics; Under -120 at User-supplied market board; best entry shown on Fanatics. Market move: Market Holding — Price Support Toward Under. Price support moved toward the Under while the line held at 24.5. Under 24.5 is now -120; Over 24.5 is -113. Closed to new entries. The original official play remains preserved. Do not chase current market.

What triggers Pass / No Chase?

Do not chase the current market. The original official play remains preserved.

Is reliable Vegas money movement available?

No. The read uses visible line movement and current prices, not unverified handle or ticket-split claims.

This content is for research and entertainment purposes only. No pick is guaranteed. Lines can move quickly. Always check the current line before making any decision.