Lexie Hull Under 9.5
Points · Seattle Storm @ Indiana Fever
Expired Watchlist
Expired Watchlist. This was not promoted before game time and does not count toward the official record.
Sources checked: Official Indiana Fever preview for Seattle at Indiana on July 17, 2026, Official WNBA Indiana Fever roster and Lexie Hull player profile, Recent public report of Lexie Hull's elbow-to-the-face/nose incident, User-supplied ProphetX, Novig and consensus market board, User-supplied projection, EV, cover probability and formula assessment · Last verified 2:00 PM ET
Lexie Hull Under 9.5 Points is a conditional Smash Watchlist for Seattle at Indiana on July 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. The projection and market qualify, but promotion requires active/full-go confirmation.
Quick Verdict
Smash Watchlist — Active / Full-Go Required.
B+ SMASH WATCHLIST — Lexie Hull Under 9.5 Points. The supplied 5.7 projection creates 3.8 points of cushion, and ProphetX shows -154 against a -182 consensus. Promotion requires active/full-go confirmation.
Original Number
9.5
9.5
9.5
Historical Market Snapshot
Current line: 9.5. Under -154 at User-supplied multi-book board; best Under shown on ProphetX. Market move: No Movement.
Sharp Layer
Projection and market strength clear the formula. The unresolved gate is active/full-go status after the recent facial-contact incident.
The books agree on 9.5 and differ mainly on price, making this highly entry-sensitive.
Pregame Vegas / Market Read
Vegas / Market Read
The market is strongly shaded Under, but no reliable handle or ticket-split data is available.
Opposite Side Check — Historical
The Over lacks projection support and no supplied Over price offsets the Under-side market signal.
The original Watchlist side was never promoted and remains unchanged.
This section preserves the final pregame opposite-side assessment. It is historical context, not a current recommendation.
Not recommended. The 5.7 projection is 3.8 points below the line and the supplied market favors the Under.
Over
Points
9.5
Unavailable
Over 9.5 price unavailable
No supplied market evidence supports an Over-side reversal.
Unavailable
Low
User-supplied projection and multi-book market board
Not Recommended
Advisory context only. It never changes the official record, grading, or recap eligibility.
Why the prop makes sense
- The 5.7 projection is 3.8 points below 9.5.
- Points props preferably need about 2.5 or more points of cushion; this clears it.
- ProphetX -154 is much cheaper than the -182 consensus and Novig price.
- The supplied +40% EV and 84% cover probability support the Under.
Why it could lose
- A strong three-point shooting night can push Hull over quickly.
- A role or minutes increase could make the projection stale.
- The recent facial-contact incident requires active/full-go confirmation.
- The best price may disappear before lock.
Smash Scores
Pregame Final Call
SMASH WATCHLIST — Lexie Hull Under 9.5 Points. Active/full-go confirmation is required before promotion. Best shown: -154 on ProphetX. If cleared, playable to -160. Pass at 8.5, worse than -165, or with unresolved/limited availability. Confidence if cleared: B+.
FAQ
Not yet. It remains Watchlist-only until active/full-go status is confirmed.
Under 9.5 -154 on ProphetX; if cleared, playable to -160.
The supplied 5.7 projection is 3.8 points below the 9.5 line.
Under 8.5, Under 9.5 worse than -165, or unresolved/limited availability.
This content is for research and entertainment purposes only. No pick is guaranteed. Lines can move quickly. Always check the current line before making any decision.